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Tony Grist

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But What If? [Mar. 10th, 2007|10:37 am]
Tony Grist
But what if we're wrong about Global Warming?

OK, I know nothing- I failed my science 'O' levels- but there was this programme on Channel 4 the other night, packed full of real scientists- one of whom looked remarkably like W.H. Auden- all protesting that they weren't in the pay of the oil companies and Al Gore has got it completely, catastrophically wrong.

The case is very simple.

A. Global Warming isn't caused by CO2
B. And even if it was, the amount of CO2 emitted by our machines is miniscule compared to the amount being churned out by volcanoes, farting sheep, rotting leaves and the slowly festering sea.

To be honest, I've always been a mite sceptical. As someone who takes more of an interest in history and prehistory than the average politician, I've noticed that it's quite normal for Earth's climate to veer about from extreme to extreme. For instance, we enjoyed a lovely warm spell in the late Middle Ages- when vinyards flourished in the north of England- followed by a long cold snap- when the Thames froze over and we held frost fairs on the ice. None of this weird weather had anything to do with us and none of it brought about The End Of Civilisation As We Know It. Human beings are very adaptable. If we weren't we wouldn't have managed to colonise our planet from Alaska to Papua New Guinea. We rise to challenges and make the best of them. 

 Yay, Chateau Huddersfield! Yay, Frost Fairs!

So what if Global Warming is just a media-driven, government-sponsored, old-mill-burning, millennarian panic?

Well- apart from it being another entry in the catalogue of human idiocy- there'll be consequences, bad consequences. The Third World needs to industrialise and the First World (nobly planting trees to off-set all those holiday air-miles) is going to be doing its preachy best  to stop it-  thus perpetuating the age-old cycle of poverty, disease and preventable death. 

Not funny at all. 

But Global warming is really happening?  Yes.

What's causing it ?  Well, I can't believe you haven't noticed, but there's this big, hot, yellow thing up there in the sky and its behaviour is extremely erratic...

[User Picture]From: halfmoon_mollie
2007-03-10 02:13 pm (UTC)
I believe the conjecture is...from Mr. Gore, anyway - that the CO2 intesifies the other effects. Yes, it's true, the earth has suffered from Ice Ages (which carved out our own Great Lakes and Finger Lakes). I don't know about 'hot' periods.

But the changes were much more gradual. The fact that EVERYTHING has begun to happen so quickly since the spewing of garbage into the air is proof that we are doing SOMETHING wrong.

I live near Onondaga Lake - one of the most polluted bodies of water in the world. It became polluted because people thought they could throw their garbage into it, empty the sewers of the city into it, and Syracuse China could pump their industrial waste into it. And eventually, the fish died and it became unfit for swimming and boating and CERTAINLY for drinking.

I think this is what the population of the earth is doing to the atmosphere.

Of course, I have no scientific proof.

And if the protective atmosphere between the earth and the sun disappears, then YES, the sun is going to fry the earth.

One way to decrease the population, I suppose.
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[User Picture]From: poliphilo
2007-03-10 07:03 pm (UTC)
The Global Warming "heretics" say temperatures started rising a long while before industrial pollution really became an issue.

Interestingly, the period immediately after WWII- which saw a big rise in industrial output- also saw a temporary drop in temperature.

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